Better decisions.................Part One

How do we learn to make better decisions?  In part, by training ourselves to think probabilistically.  To do that, we must force ourselves to envision various futures - to hold contradictory scenarios in our minds simultaneously - and then expose ourselves to a wide spectrum of successes and failures to develop an intuition about which forecasts are more or less likely to come true.

-Charles Duhigg,   Smarter Faster Better:  The Secrets of Being Productive in Life and Business