Nor does talent exist in a vacuum. Outstanding performers in part of a company may, when transferred, suddenly fail. . . . Hypotheses abounded but what everyone learned is that ability and environment are inextricably linked. As anyone who's suffered a terrible boss will recognize: given the right circumstances, everybody can be made to fail. Because achievement derives in part from context, forecasting individual talent omits half the picture.
-Margaret Heffernan, Uncharted: How To Navigate The Future
* although the weather people seem to have gotten the latest snow forecast right