Sunday, January 31, 2021

Forecasting is difficult *........................................

      Nor does talent exist in a vacuum.  Outstanding performers in part of a company may, when transferred, suddenly fail. . . . Hypotheses abounded but what everyone learned is that ability and environment are inextricably linked.  As anyone who's suffered a terrible boss will recognize: given the right circumstances, everybody can be made to fail.  Because achievement derives in part from context, forecasting individual talent omits half the picture.

-Margaret Heffernan, Uncharted:  How To Navigate The Future

* although the weather people seem to have gotten the latest snow forecast right

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