Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Opportunity knocks............
Over the years we have acquired a few shuttered big box retail stores. Something just feels right about turning an non-productive building into a vibrant place of activity and commerce. Seems like a win-win to us. Plus, they are among our better investments. So it was with great interest that we read this post from the CRE Console blog. None of the 126 closed stores are in Ohio, and we don't travel as well as we used to, but these guys think like we do. What an opportunity. Somebody is going to have fun.
Abbott and Costello have a go............
From Greg Mankiw's blog
COSTELLO: I want to talk about the unemployment
rate in America.
ABBOTT: Good "subject". Terrible "times". It's about 9%.
COSTELLO: That many people are out of work?
ABBOTT: No, that's 16%.
COSTELLO: You just said 9%.
ABBOTT: 9% Unemployed.
COSTELLO: Right 9% out of work.
ABBOTT: No, that's 16%.
COSTELLO: Okay, so it's 16% unemployed.
ABBOTT: No, that's 9%...
COSTELLO: WAIT A MINUTE. Is it 9% or 16%?
ABBOTT: 9% are unemployed. 16% are out of work.
COSTELLO: If you are out of work you are unemployed.
ABBOTT: No, you can't count the "Out of Work" as the
unemployed. You have to look for work to be
unemployed.
COSTELLO: But ... they are out of work!
ABBOTT: No, you miss my point.
COSTELLO: What point?
ABBOTT: Someone who doesn't look for work, can't be
counted with those who look for work. It wouldn't be fair.
COSTELLO: To who?
ABBOTT: The unemployed.
COSTELLO: But they are ALL out of work.
ABBOTT: No, the unemployed are actively looking for
work...Those who are out of work stopped looking. They
gave up. And, if you give up, you are no longer in the
ranks of the unemployed.
COSTELLO: So if you're off the unemployment roles,
that would count as less unemployment?
ABBOTT: Unemployment would go down. Absolutely!
COSTELLO: The unemployment just goes down because
you don't look for work?
ABBOTT: Absolutely it goes down. That's how you get
to 9%. Otherwise it would be 16%. You don't want to read
about 16% unemployment do ya?
COSTELLO: That would be frightening.
ABBOTT: Absolutely.
COSTELLO: Wait, I got a question for you. That means
they're two ways to bring down the unemployment
number?
ABBOTT: Two ways is correct.
COSTELLO: Unemployment can go down if someone
gets a job?
ABBOTT: Correct.
COSTELLO: And unemployment can also go down if
you stop looking for a job?
ABBOTT: Bingo.
COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment
down, and the easier of the two is to just stop looking for
work.
ABBOTT: Now you're thinking like an economist.
COSTELLO: I don't even know what the hell I just said!
COSTELLO: I want to talk about the unemployment
rate in America.
ABBOTT: Good "subject". Terrible "times". It's about 9%.
COSTELLO: That many people are out of work?
ABBOTT: No, that's 16%.
COSTELLO: You just said 9%.
ABBOTT: 9% Unemployed.
COSTELLO: Right 9% out of work.
ABBOTT: No, that's 16%.
COSTELLO: Okay, so it's 16% unemployed.
ABBOTT: No, that's 9%...
COSTELLO: WAIT A MINUTE. Is it 9% or 16%?
ABBOTT: 9% are unemployed. 16% are out of work.
COSTELLO: If you are out of work you are unemployed.
ABBOTT: No, you can't count the "Out of Work" as the
unemployed. You have to look for work to be
unemployed.
COSTELLO: But ... they are out of work!
ABBOTT: No, you miss my point.
COSTELLO: What point?
ABBOTT: Someone who doesn't look for work, can't be
counted with those who look for work. It wouldn't be fair.
COSTELLO: To who?
ABBOTT: The unemployed.
COSTELLO: But they are ALL out of work.
ABBOTT: No, the unemployed are actively looking for
work...Those who are out of work stopped looking. They
gave up. And, if you give up, you are no longer in the
ranks of the unemployed.
COSTELLO: So if you're off the unemployment roles,
that would count as less unemployment?
ABBOTT: Unemployment would go down. Absolutely!
COSTELLO: The unemployment just goes down because
you don't look for work?
ABBOTT: Absolutely it goes down. That's how you get
to 9%. Otherwise it would be 16%. You don't want to read
about 16% unemployment do ya?
COSTELLO: That would be frightening.
ABBOTT: Absolutely.
COSTELLO: Wait, I got a question for you. That means
they're two ways to bring down the unemployment
number?
ABBOTT: Two ways is correct.
COSTELLO: Unemployment can go down if someone
gets a job?
ABBOTT: Correct.
COSTELLO: And unemployment can also go down if
you stop looking for a job?
ABBOTT: Bingo.
COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment
down, and the easier of the two is to just stop looking for
work.
ABBOTT: Now you're thinking like an economist.
COSTELLO: I don't even know what the hell I just said!
Hope they've been working on their business model..................
Full post, including this quote and this comment, from Mark Perry is here
Quote: It's another one of those huge Schumpeterian gales of
creative destruction.
Comment: At 2/26/2012 9:24 PM,
denbeste said...
The man to blame for this is Craig Newmark. Newspaper ad
revenue fell off the cliff when Craigslist really hit its stride.
Opening paragraphs................
The news hit the British High Commission in Nairobi at nine-thirty on a Monday morning. Sandy Woodrow took it like a bullet, jaw rigid, chest out, smack through his divided English heart. He was standing. That much he afterwards remembered. He was standing and the internal phone was piping. He was reaching for something, he heard the piping so he checked himself in order to stretch down and fish the receiver off the hook and say, "Woodrow." Or maybe, "Woodrow here." And he certainly barked his name a bit, he had that memory for sure, of his voice sounding like someone else's, and sounding stroppy: "Woodrow here," his own perfectly decent name, but without the softening of his nickname Sandy, and snapped out as if he hated it, because the High Commissioner's usual prayer meeting was slated to start in thirty minutes prompt, with Woodrow, as Head of Chancery, playing in-house moderator to a bunch of special-interest prima donnas, each of whom wanted sole possession of the High Commissioner's heart and mind.
-John Le Carre, The Constant Gardener
-John Le Carre, The Constant Gardener
So many different suns.........
These mist covered mountains
Are a home now for me
But my home is the lowlands
And always will be
Some day you'll return to
Your valleys and your farms
And you'll no longer burn
To be brothers in arms
Through these fields of destruction
Baptisms of fire
I've witnessed your suffering
As the battles raged higher
And though we were hurt so bad
In the fear and alarm
You did not desert me
My brothers in arms
There's so many different worlds
So many different suns
And we have just one world
But we live in different ones
Now the sun's gone to hell
And the moon's riding high
Let me bid you farewell
Every man has to die
But it's written in the starlight
And every line on your palm
We're fools to make war
On our brothers in arms
-Mark Knopfler
Work yet to be done...............
In short, humans were not created to be receivers only, or clients only, but also creators. God gave them minds and imaginations, as well as courage and a zest for trial and error. He implanted in them a desire to better their condition, for their families and for the whole of human society. The creation of wealth is a social task and the supportive efforts of all are necessary to its accomplishment. It is especially necessary for the poor. Since we now know that wealth can be created in a sustained and systematic way, then - given the immense suffering of so many poor - economic development has become a moral obligation. We are obliged to work to shape institutions and systems that permit its flourishing. The cost, otherwise, is widespread misery, from which so much of the world today, lacking such institutions, unnecessarily suffers.
Both the traditionalist economic vision and the Socialist economic vision have proved inadequate. The capacity of capitalist and democratic systems to raise up hundreds of millions of the poor has been abundantly proved. Such systems to not promise, or deliver, paradise on earth. They are but instruments of our larger moral and cultural purposes. But it is precisely the leaders and thinkers of the moral and cultural sectors of the free societies that have been most deficient in grasping the moral and spiritual possibilities these novel systems of political economy have opened before us. The thinkers of the Scottish Enlightenment achieved an unprecedented revolution in the human ethos, whose spiritual possibilities have yet to be realized. It is my hope that moral and cultural leaders, philosophers and poets, theologians and prelates, will awaken from their slumbers, grasp these possibilities, and fashion from them maxims of practical moral guidance, for which so many economic activists are manifestly thirsty.
Michael Novak, This Hemisphere of Liberty
Both the traditionalist economic vision and the Socialist economic vision have proved inadequate. The capacity of capitalist and democratic systems to raise up hundreds of millions of the poor has been abundantly proved. Such systems to not promise, or deliver, paradise on earth. They are but instruments of our larger moral and cultural purposes. But it is precisely the leaders and thinkers of the moral and cultural sectors of the free societies that have been most deficient in grasping the moral and spiritual possibilities these novel systems of political economy have opened before us. The thinkers of the Scottish Enlightenment achieved an unprecedented revolution in the human ethos, whose spiritual possibilities have yet to be realized. It is my hope that moral and cultural leaders, philosophers and poets, theologians and prelates, will awaken from their slumbers, grasp these possibilities, and fashion from them maxims of practical moral guidance, for which so many economic activists are manifestly thirsty.
Michael Novak, This Hemisphere of Liberty
Monday, February 27, 2012
Competition...............
"We are lovers of truth, but also lovers of much else; and
it is hard to keep the competing loves from interfering
with each other."
-Brand Blanshard, Four Reasonable Men
it is hard to keep the competing loves from interfering
with each other."
-Brand Blanshard, Four Reasonable Men
About sauntering..................
I have met with but one or two persons in the course of my life who understood the art of Walking, that is, of taking walks, - who had a genius, so to speak, for sauntering: which word is beautifully derived from "idle people who roved about the country, in the Middle Ages, and asked for charity, under the pretence of going `a la Sainte Terre," to the Holy Land, till the children exclaimed, "There goes a Sainte-Terrer," a Saunterer, a Holy-Lander. They who never go to the Holy Land in their walks, as they pretend, are indeed mere idlers and vagabonds; but they who do go there are saunterers in the good sense, such as I mean. Some, however, would derive the word from sans terre, without land or home, which, therefore, in the good sense, will mean, having no particular home, but equally at home everywhere. For this is the secret of successful sauntering. He who sits still in a house all the time bay be the greatest vagrant of all; but the saunterer, in the good sense, is no more vagrant than the meandering river, which is all the while sedulously seeking the shortest course to the sea. But I prefer the first, which, indeed, is the most probable derivation. For every walk is a sort of crusade, preached by some Peter the Hermit in us, to go forth and reconquer this Holy Land from the hands of the Infidels.
-Henry David Thoreau, from his 1862 essay Walking
photo courtesy of
The rose-colored glasses are coming out......
It is difficult for a normally optimistic industry to stay pessimistic
for long. Home builders have been gaining confidence for the
past five months. Let's hope this trend continues. Have I told
you lately that we have some wonderful building lots for sale?
In case you are curious about what this index means
and how it gets calculated, go here.
for long. Home builders have been gaining confidence for the
past five months. Let's hope this trend continues. Have I told
you lately that we have some wonderful building lots for sale?
In case you are curious about what this index means
and how it gets calculated, go here.
The young apprentice................
The Police........................Wrapped Around Your Finger
You consider me the young apprentice
Caught between the Scylla and Charybdis
Hypnotized by you if I should linger
Staring at the ring around your finger
I have only come here seeking knowledge
Things they would not teach me of in college
I can see that destiny you sold
Turned into a shining band of gold
I'll be wrapped around your finger
I'll be wrapped around your finger
Mephistopheles is not your name
I know what you're up to just the same
I will listen hard to your 'tuition
You will see it come to it's fruition
I'll be wrapped around your finger
I'll be wrapped around your finger
Devil and the deep blue sea behind me
Vanish in the air you'll never find me
I will turn your flesh to alabaster
Then you'll find your servant is your master
Oh, you'll be wrapped around my finger
You'll be wrapped around my finger
You'll be wrapped around my finger
-Sting
You consider me the young apprentice
Caught between the Scylla and Charybdis
Hypnotized by you if I should linger
Staring at the ring around your finger
I have only come here seeking knowledge
Things they would not teach me of in college
I can see that destiny you sold
Turned into a shining band of gold
I'll be wrapped around your finger
I'll be wrapped around your finger
Mephistopheles is not your name
I know what you're up to just the same
I will listen hard to your 'tuition
You will see it come to it's fruition
I'll be wrapped around your finger
I'll be wrapped around your finger
Devil and the deep blue sea behind me
Vanish in the air you'll never find me
I will turn your flesh to alabaster
Then you'll find your servant is your master
Oh, you'll be wrapped around my finger
You'll be wrapped around my finger
You'll be wrapped around my finger
-Sting
Sunday, February 26, 2012
Acceptance...............
The Hindoos assert, that if the Author of the Universe preferred one religion to another, that only could prevail of which he approved; because to presume such preference while we see so many different religions would be the height of impiety, as it would be supposing injustice towards those he left ignorant of his will; and they therefore conclude, that every religion is particularly adapted to the country and the people where it is practiced, and that all in their original purity are equally acceptable to God.
-an unattributed quote from The Carcanet
-an unattributed quote from The Carcanet
A matched pair.............
"A vision without a task is but a dream. A task without
a vision is drudgery. A vision and a task are the hope
of the world."
-anonymous, but excerpted from Zig Ziglar's collection,
Inspiration: 365 Days A Year
a vision is drudgery. A vision and a task are the hope
of the world."
-anonymous, but excerpted from Zig Ziglar's collection,
Inspiration: 365 Days A Year
Opening paragraphs....................
Twenty years after the Napoleonic War, and Britain, once fearful but now proud in her isolation, stood alone as the dominant power in the world, Watchdog of the seven seas, workshop foreman of the world, welder of empires, her position appeared invulnerable. Already historically minded Europeans were comparing their century to that one other period in human history when concentrated power had brought order and security to turbulent civilization - the second century after Christ - and, either in pride or in envy, were calling their age Pax Britannica.
Joseph Frazier Wall, Andrew Carnegie
Joseph Frazier Wall, Andrew Carnegie
Sunday's Verse.................
3 Take heed to yourselves: If thy brother
trespass against thee, rebuke him; and if he
repent, forgive him.
4 And if he trespass against thee seven times
in a day, and seven times in a day turn again to
thee, saying, I repent; thou shalt forgive him.
5 And the apostles said unto the Lord,
Increase our faith.
6 And the Lord said, If ye had faith as a grain
of mustard seed, ye might say unto this sycamine
tree, Be thou plucked up by the root, and be thou
planted in the sea; and it should obey you.
7 But which of you, having a servant plowing or
feeding cattle, will say unto him by and by, when
he is come from the field, Go and sit down to
meat?
8 And will not rather say unto him, Make ready
wherewith I may sup, and gird thyself, and serve
me, till I have eaten and drunken; and afterward
thou shalt eat and drink?
9 Doth he thank that servant because he did the
things that were commanded him? I trow not.
10 So likewise ye, when ye shall have done all
those things which are commanded you, say, We
are unprofitable servants: we have done that
which was our duty to do.
11 And it came to pass, as he went to Jerusalem,
that he passed through the midst of Samaria and
Galilee.
12 And as he entered into a certain village,
there met him ten men that were lepers,
which stood afar off:
13 And they lifted up their voices, and said,
Jesus, Master, have mercy on us.
14 And when he saw them, he said unto them,
Go shew yourselves unto the priests. And it came
to pass, that, as they went, they were cleansed.
15 And one of them, when he saw that he was
healed, turned back, and with a loud voice
glorified God,
16 And fell down on his face at his feet, giving
him thanks: and he was a Samaritan.
17 And Jesus answering said, Were there not
ten cleansed? but where are the nine?
18 There are not found that returned to give
glory to God, save this stranger.
19 And he said unto him, Arise, go thy way:
thy faith hath made thee whole.
20 And when he was demanded of the Pharisees,
when the kingdom of God should come, he
answered them and said, The kingdom of God
cometh not with observation:
21 Neither shall they say, Lo here! or, lo there!
for, behold, the kingdom of God is within you.
-Luke 17:3-21
The Holy Bible, King James Version
Uniting.........................
I reach the Integral Way of uniting with
the great and mysterious Tao.
My teachings are simple; if you try to
make a religion or science of
them, they will elude you.
Profound yet plain, they contain the
entire truth of the universe.
Those who wish to know the whole truth
take joy in doing the work and
service that comes to them.
Having completed it, they take joy in
cleansing and feeding themselves.
Having cared for others and for
themselves, they then turn
to the master for instruction.
This simple path leads to peace, virtue, and abundance.
-Verse 1
Hua Hu Ching: The Unknown Teachings of Lao Tzu
Brian Walker
the great and mysterious Tao.
My teachings are simple; if you try to
make a religion or science of
them, they will elude you.
Profound yet plain, they contain the
entire truth of the universe.
Those who wish to know the whole truth
take joy in doing the work and
service that comes to them.
Having completed it, they take joy in
cleansing and feeding themselves.
Having cared for others and for
themselves, they then turn
to the master for instruction.
This simple path leads to peace, virtue, and abundance.
-Verse 1
Hua Hu Ching: The Unknown Teachings of Lao Tzu
Brian Walker
Lit up from within.................
Whether you say "The kingdom of God is within" as Jesus did (in Luke 17:21) or that we all have innate Buddha nature as Tibetans do, in the end, doesn't it come down to the same thing: We are all lit up from within as if from a sacred source. Even a child can experience it. Amazing!
In other words, don't seek externally for fulfillment; rather turn the searchlight inward. "Hey, what are you gawking at? Don't you see, it's all about you!" the twentieth-century Zen master Sawaki Roshi once said. It's a fact: You're not going to find truth outside yourself. Not through lovers or mates, not with friends, not with family, and certainly not through material success. The only place you are going to be able to find your truth is in your genuine spiritual center. Truth is found by living truly - in your own authentic way.
-Lama Surya Das, Awakening the Buddha Within
In other words, don't seek externally for fulfillment; rather turn the searchlight inward. "Hey, what are you gawking at? Don't you see, it's all about you!" the twentieth-century Zen master Sawaki Roshi once said. It's a fact: You're not going to find truth outside yourself. Not through lovers or mates, not with friends, not with family, and certainly not through material success. The only place you are going to be able to find your truth is in your genuine spiritual center. Truth is found by living truly - in your own authentic way.
-Lama Surya Das, Awakening the Buddha Within
How are we doing.....?
"Mutual education, in a large sense of the word, is one of the great and incessant occupations of human society, carried on partly with set purpose, and partly not. One generation forms another; and the existing generation is ever acting and reacting upon itself in the persons of its individual members."
-John Henry Newman, The Idea of a University
-John Henry Newman, The Idea of a University
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