Super-credentialed administrators, caught in fraud and falsehood, can no longer adjudicate reality. The Counter-Reformation of the elites, for all its abandonment of liberal ideals, will never close the breach in the public’s trust. A great culling of institutions is at hand, propelled by a Darwinian need for structural adaptation. Strange new voices come and go, some of them brilliant and useful, while others resemble the rantings of mad prophets, would-be messiahs, and pirate kings.
The diffusion of AI will compound the turmoil. In most of its possible iterations, AI will be the opposite of a truth machine. To the extent that the platforms acquire a subjective will of their own, they will simply join the melee and seek to impose their preferred frames on their creators. Superior intelligence may exalt them to a status equal to that of the oracles of the Olympian gods—attended, it may be, by a priestly caste of technologists. But to the extent that AI is a mere tool, it will place the totality of human knowledge in the hands of the least educated persons and so hasten the demise of the expert class.
-Martin Gurri, from this essay. It's Gurri. Go read the whole thing. Here is another wee sample:
Here I finally reveal myself in my true colors. I’m an analyst. My task is to describe reality, and that’s what this essay is about. But I also lead an active life inside the world that I’m describing—and I have preferences. I see equality as a factor of opportunity, law, and human dignity, not of perfect outcomes. I think truth emerges from examining a subject from a large number of perspectives, even those that may seem disturbing or false. I hope that my story—as a person, a father, a grandfather—connects to other stories in the past and will connect to more in the future, in a pattern that is not entirely devoid of meaning. And I believe fervently in liberal democracy, because—born in Cuba—I have tasted the alternative.
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