Showing posts with label Error. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Error. Show all posts

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Are these numbers correct.......?

 

     Compare this with a closed system, such as healthcare and hospitals.  That industry takes a very different approach to dealing with errors; not surprisingly, it produces vastly inferior results.

     How different?  Syed notes the remarkable contrast between air travel and preventable medical errors:  After heart disease and cancer, medical errors are the third leading cause of death in America.  As many as a half-million fatalities in the US, at a cost estimated at $17 billion a year, are due to errors.  Peter Pronovost, a clinician at Johns Hopkins Medical School, wondered how we would respond if two 747 jumbo jets fell out of the sky each day, killing roughly 900 people.  That's how many people die daily from medical mistakes.

     Why is health care so different from aviation?  First, there is little publicly available data and no standardized review process when errors occur.  Whatever self-evaluation takes place is private, sealed, and not readily available for public scrutiny.  Some people believe doctors are infallible saviors, creating a reluctance to admit error.  Insurance costs, litigation, and protecting reputations reduce the industry's desire for public accounting.  In short, healthcare is everything that aviation is not.

-Barry Ritholtz,  How Not To Invest: The Ideas, Numbers, and Behaviors That Destroy Wealth—And How To Avoid Them


Sunday, May 19, 2024

pointing......................

 

Error is indeed our enemy, but it alone points to the truth and therefore deserves our respectful treatment.

-Allan Bloom, The Closing of the American Mind


Monday, May 6, 2019

"It's not the errors that I do see that bother me.....


......................................................It's the errors that I don't see.

With 2.5 billion GB of information being created each day, we have to continually ask ourselves, “What information can I trust?” 

Saturday, September 8, 2018

Mistakes.............................


     "Everyone makes mistakes.  The main difference is that successful people learn from them and unsuccessful people don't.  By creating an environment in which it is okay to safely make mistakes so that people can learn from them, you'll see rapid progress and fewer significant mistakes."

     "Mistakes will cause you pain, but you shouldn't try to shield yourself or others from it.  Pain is a message that something is wrong and it's an effective teacher that one shouldn't do the wrong thing again."

-Ray Dalio,  Principles

Tuesday, May 29, 2018

A fairly important thing to remember....


"The aim of science is not to open the door to infinite wisdom, but to set a limit to infinite error."

-Bertolt Brecht

Saturday, January 6, 2018

Yields................................


     Standing their before fifteen-thousand-strong crowd, Kennedy admitted to having once been a cheerleader for the country's commitment in Vietnam.  "But past error is no excuse for its own perpetuation.  All men make mistakes, but a good  man yields when he know his course is wrong and repairs the evil."

-Chris Matthews,  Bobby Kennedy:  A Raging Spirit

Monday, April 10, 2017

On errors..............................


“Science, my lad, has been built upon many errors; but they are errors which it was good to fall into, for they led to the truth.” 

-Jules Verne

Saturday, April 16, 2016

Orthodoxy................................


Orthodoxy can be as stubborn in science as it is in religion.  I do not know how to shake it except by vigorous imagination that inspires unconventional work and contains within itself an elevated potential for inspired error.  As the great Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto wrote, "Give me a fruitful error any time, full of seeds, bursting with its own corrections.  You can keep your sterile truth for yourself."  Not to mention a man named Thomas Henry Huxley who, when not in the throes of grief or in the wars of parson hunting, argued that "irrationally held truths may be more harmful than reasoned errors."

-Stephen Jay Gould

Sunday, December 6, 2015

The compensating advantage...........


"I have as much difficulty as ever in expressing myself clearly and concisely;  and this difficulty has caused me a very great loss of time;  but it has had the compensating advantage of forcing me to think long and intently about every sentence, and thus I have been led to see errors in reasoning and in my own observations or those of others."
-Charles Darwin

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Primal essence......................................

The bias of errors of principle carries away men into perilous courses, as soon as their will does not control their passion or talent.  Hence the extraordinary blunders, and final wrong head, into which men spoiled by ambition usually fall.  Hence the remedy for all blunders, the cure for blindness, the cure of crime, is love.  "As much love, so much mind," said the Latin proverb.  The superiority that has no superior, the redeemer and instructor of souls, as it is their primal essence, is love.
-Ralph Waldo Emerson, as excerpted from his essay Worship

Sunday, January 25, 2015

On learning............................

"We've all heard that we have to learn from our mistakes, but I think it's more important to learn from successes.  If you learn only from your mistakes, you are inclined to learn only errors."
-Norman Vincent Peale

Thursday, May 15, 2014

"...the wages of secrecy are corruption."

"We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free to enquire. We know that the wages of secrecy are corruption. We know that in secrecy error, undetected, will flourish and subvert."
-J. Robert Oppenheimer, 1950

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Fairly free.........................

16.   The Master said, Give me a few more years, so that I may have spent a whole fifty in study, and I believe that after all I should be fairly free from error.

-Book VII
The Analects of Confucius

Tuesday, June 4, 2013

Commence making mistakes...............

"But my mistakes have been necessary. I’ve dwelled on my failures today because, as graduates of Harvard, your biggest liability is your need to succeed, your need to always find yourself on the sweet side of the bell curve. Success is a lot like a bright white tuxedo. You feel terrific when you get it, but then you’re desperately afraid of getting it dirty, of spoiling it."
Conan O'Brian, as excerpted from here

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Judge.......................................



















"One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results."
-Milton Friedman

image via

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

About Error......................

     "Truth is to be sought only by slow and painful progress.
Error is in its nature flippant and compendious; it hops with
airy and fastidious levity over proofs and arguments, and
perches upon assertion, which it calls conclusion."
-John Philpot Curran